Championship · Matchweek 16

Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 15:00 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 16
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Swansea City AFC win34%
Draw27%
West Bromwich Albion FC win39%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
45%
Under 2.5 goals
55%
BTTS yes
50%
Over 1.5 goals
71%
Over 3.5 goals
24%
BTTS no
50%
Expected goals
1.19 – 1.28

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

West Bromwich Albion FC have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Swansea City AFC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. West Bromwich Albion FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–110.8%
  • 1–010.1%
  • 0–08.4%
  • 1–28.2%
  • 2–17.7%
  • 0–26.9%
  • 2–06.0%

Team comparison

StatisticSwansea City AFCWest Bromwich Albion FC
Matches played1414
Points per match1.641.79
Goals per match1.431.50
Goals conceded per match1.211.00
Home / away goals scored118
Home / away goals conceded37
Last 5 points311
Last 5 goals scored611
Last 5 goals conceded115
Win percentage50%50%

Swansea City AFC recent form

LLWLL

West Bromwich Albion FC recent form

WDWDW

Recent form

Swansea City AFC

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Birmingham City FC1–2
  • Lat Portsmouth FC1–3
  • Wvs Blackburn Rovers FC4–0
  • Lat Queens Park Rangers FC0–5
  • Lvs West Ham United FC0–1

West Bromwich Albion FC

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Millwall FC3–0
  • Dvs Southampton FC1–1
  • Wat West Ham United FC3–1
  • Dat Preston North End FC1–1
  • Wvs Blackburn Rovers FC3–2

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.