Championship · Matchweek 17

Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Tue 24 Nov, 19:45 (GMT)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 17
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Middlesbrough FC win68%
Draw17%
Swansea City AFC win15%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Under 2.5 goals
26%
BTTS yes
65%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
54%
BTTS no
35%
Expected goals
2.67 – 1.21

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Middlesbrough FC's home scoring output above the Championship average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.9%
  • 3–17.9%
  • 2–07.4%
  • 1–16.7%
  • 3–06.6%
  • 1–05.5%
  • 2–25.4%
  • 4–15.3%

Team comparison

StatisticMiddlesbrough FCSwansea City AFC
Matches played1414
Points per match1.861.64
Goals per match2.001.43
Goals conceded per match1.291.21
Home / away goals scored159
Home / away goals conceded814
Last 5 points83
Last 5 goals scored106
Last 5 goals conceded511
Win percentage50%50%

Middlesbrough FC recent form

DWWLD

Swansea City AFC recent form

LLWLL

Recent form

Middlesbrough FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dat Watford FC0–0
  • Lat Wrexham AFC0–2
  • Wvs Charlton Athletic FC3–0
  • Wat Bolton Wanderers FC5–1
  • Dvs Cardiff City FC2–2

Swansea City AFC

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Birmingham City FC1–2
  • Lat Portsmouth FC1–3
  • Wvs Blackburn Rovers FC4–0
  • Lat Queens Park Rangers FC0–5
  • Lvs West Ham United FC0–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.