Championship
West Ham United FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
67%
Draw
18%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 64%BTTS: 57%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 12
Bolton Wanderers FC vs Middlesbrough FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 23 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Bolton Wanderers FC win28%
Draw23%
Middlesbrough FC win49%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS yes
- 61%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 39%
- Expected goals
- 1.32 – 1.80
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Bolton Wanderers FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Middlesbrough FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Middlesbrough FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.5%
- 1–29.5%
- 0–18.0%
- 0–27.2%
- 2–16.9%
- 2–26.2%
- 1–05.8%
- 1–35.7%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Bolton Wanderers FC | Middlesbrough FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 7 | 7 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.71 |
| Goals per match | 1.29 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.00 | 1.57 |
| Home / away goals scored | 3 | 5 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 13 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 29% | 43% |
Bolton Wanderers FC recent form
LLLWW
Middlesbrough FC recent form
DWWDD
Recent form
Bolton Wanderers FC
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 13 conceded
- Wat Norwich City FC4–3
- Wvs Cardiff City FC1–0
- Lvs West Ham United FC2–3
- Lat Millwall FC0–4
- Lat Sheffield United FC2–3
Middlesbrough FC
2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 8 conceded
- Dat Birmingham City FC2–2
- Dvs Millwall FC2–2
- Wvs Norwich City FC4–3
- Wat Queens Park Rangers FC1–0
- Dat Burnley FC1–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 2 October 2026
Last updated: 2 October 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
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Charlton Athletic FC vs Bristol City FC
Home
32%
Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 37%BTTS: 44%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC
Home
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Draw
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Away
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Preston North End FC vs Millwall FC
Home
37%
Draw
22%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 70%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.