Championship · Matchweek 9

Charlton Athletic FC vs Bristol City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Charlton Athletic FC win32%
Draw29%
Bristol City FC win39%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes
44%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
BTTS no
56%
Expected goals
1.02 – 1.15

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Charlton Athletic FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Bristol City FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Bristol City FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–113.1%
  • 1–011.6%
  • 0–011.4%
  • 1–27.7%
  • 0–27.6%
  • 2–16.8%
  • 2–05.9%

Team comparison

StatisticCharlton Athletic FCBristol City FC
Matches played77
Points per match1.291.86
Goals per match0.711.57
Goals conceded per match1.291.43
Home / away goals scored18
Home / away goals conceded08
Last 5 points39
Last 5 goals scored27
Last 5 goals conceded87
Win percentage29%57%

Charlton Athletic FC recent form

DLDDL

Bristol City FC recent form

WWLLW

Recent form

Charlton Athletic FC

0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat Cardiff City FC1–3
  • Dvs Portsmouth FC0–0
  • Dvs Queens Park Rangers FC0–0
  • Lat Stoke City FC0–4
  • Dat West Bromwich Albion FC1–1

Bristol City FC

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs Watford FC1–0
  • Lvs Lincoln City FC0–1
  • Lat Southampton FC1–4
  • Wat Burnley FC2–1
  • Wat Preston North End FC3–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.