Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 9
Charlton Athletic FC vs Bristol City FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 9
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Charlton Athletic FC win32%
Draw29%
Bristol City FC win39%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 37%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 63%
- BTTS yes
- 44%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 64%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 17%
- BTTS no
- 56%
- Expected goals
- 1.02 – 1.15
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Charlton Athletic FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Bristol City FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Bristol City FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–113.4%
- 0–113.1%
- 1–011.6%
- 0–011.4%
- 1–27.7%
- 0–27.6%
- 2–16.8%
- 2–05.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Charlton Athletic FC | Bristol City FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 14 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.29 |
| Goals per match | 0.79 | 1.14 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.57 | 1.57 |
| Home / away goals scored | 5 | 12 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 21% | 36% |
Charlton Athletic FC recent form
LLLLW
Bristol City FC recent form
LDWLL
Recent form
Charlton Athletic FC
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 2 scored, 8 conceded
- Lat Cardiff City FC1–3
- Dvs Portsmouth FC0–0
- Dvs Queens Park Rangers FC0–0
- Lat Stoke City FC0–4
- Dat West Bromwich Albion FC1–1
Bristol City FC
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Watford FC1–0
- Lvs Lincoln City FC0–1
- Lat Southampton FC1–4
- Wat Burnley FC2–1
- Wat Preston North End FC3–1
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.