Championship · Matchweek 9

Swansea City AFC vs Norwich City FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 10 Oct, 12:30 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Swansea City AFC win60%
Draw21%
Norwich City FC win18%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
55%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
36%
BTTS no
45%
Expected goals
2.01 – 1.01

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against Norwich City FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road. Norwich City FC's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Swansea City AFC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–110.0%
  • 1–19.9%
  • 2–09.8%
  • 1–09.8%
  • 3–16.7%
  • 3–06.6%
  • 2–25.0%
  • 1–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticSwansea City AFCNorwich City FC
Matches played1414
Points per match1.641.50
Goals per match1.432.21
Goals conceded per match1.211.57
Home / away goals scored1119
Home / away goals conceded312
Last 5 points312
Last 5 goals scored615
Last 5 goals conceded114
Win percentage50%50%

Swansea City AFC recent form

LLWLL

Norwich City FC recent form

LWWWW

Recent form

Swansea City AFC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wat Lincoln City FC2–1
  • Wvs Burnley FC3–1
  • Lat Southampton FC1–3
  • Dvs Wrexham AFC0–0
  • Wvs Watford FC2–0

Norwich City FC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lvs Bolton Wanderers FC3–4
  • Lat Middlesbrough FC3–4
  • Wvs Birmingham City FC2–1
  • Wat Sheffield United FC3–1
  • Lat Stoke City FC0–1

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.