Championship
Swansea City AFC vs West Bromwich Albion FC
Home
34%
Draw
27%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 45%BTTS: 50%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship · Matchweek 11
Wrexham AFC vs Preston North End FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Championship
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Wrexham AFC win56%
Draw24%
Preston North End FC win20%
- Predicted score
- 1–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 51%
- BTTS yes
- 49%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 74%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 27%
- BTTS no
- 51%
- Expected goals
- 1.71 – 0.92
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Wrexham AFC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Preston North End FC, who have shipped goals above the Championship average on the road.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–012.4%
- 1–111.4%
- 2–010.6%
- 2–19.7%
- 0–07.3%
- 0–16.7%
- 3–06.0%
- 3–15.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Wrexham AFC | Preston North End FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 15 | 14 |
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.57 |
| Goals per match | 1.20 | 0.86 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.33 | 2.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 13 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 15 |
| Last 5 points | 7 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 5 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 10 |
| Win percentage | 27% | 14% |
Wrexham AFC recent form
WLLWD
Preston North End FC recent form
LDLLW
Recent form
Wrexham AFC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 11 conceded
- Lvs West Bromwich Albion FC1–2
- Dat Derby County FC1–1
- Wvs Southampton FC2–1
- Lat West Ham United FC0–6
- Dvs Burnley FC1–1
Preston North End FC
0W 1D 4L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 10 conceded
- Lat Birmingham City FC0–4
- Lvs Millwall FC0–1
- Dat Queens Park Rangers FC2–2
- Lvs Lincoln City FC0–1
- Lat Watford FC1–2
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Championship
West Ham United FC vs Preston North End FC
Home
76%
Draw
14%
Away
10%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 60%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Middlesbrough FC vs Swansea City AFC
Home
68%
Draw
17%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 74%BTTS: 65%
High confidenceFull prediction
Championship
Norwich City FC vs Queens Park Rangers FC
Home
63%
Draw
18%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 67%
High confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.