Championship · Matchweek 11

Wrexham AFC vs Preston North End FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 17 Oct, 15:00 (BST)
Competition
Championship
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Wrexham AFC win50%
Draw25%
Preston North End FC win25%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
49%
BTTS yes
53%
Over 1.5 goals
76%
Over 3.5 goals
29%
BTTS no
47%
Expected goals
1.64 – 1.08

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Wrexham AFC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.7%
  • 1–010.8%
  • 2–19.6%
  • 2–08.8%
  • 0–17.1%
  • 0–06.6%
  • 1–26.3%
  • 3–15.2%

Team comparison

StatisticWrexham AFCPreston North End FC
Matches played87
Points per match1.250.57
Goals per match1.131.00
Goals conceded per match1.501.86
Home / away goals scored53
Home / away goals conceded55
Last 5 points84
Last 5 goals scored66
Last 5 goals conceded89
Win percentage25%14%

Wrexham AFC recent form

WDDLW

Preston North End FC recent form

LWLLD

Recent form

Wrexham AFC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

  • Wvs Southampton FC2–1
  • Lat West Ham United FC0–6
  • Dvs Burnley FC1–1
  • Dat Swansea City AFC0–0
  • Wat Millwall FC3–0

Preston North End FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dat Queens Park Rangers FC2–2
  • Lvs Lincoln City FC0–1
  • Lat Watford FC1–2
  • Wvs Blackburn Rovers FC2–1
  • Lvs Bristol City FC1–3

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.