Serie A · Matchweek 8

Como 1907 vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Como 1907 win62%
Draw19%
US Sassuolo Calcio win19%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
69%
Under 2.5 goals
31%
BTTS yes
64%
Over 1.5 goals
87%
Over 3.5 goals
47%
BTTS no
36%
Expected goals
2.32 – 1.22

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Home scoring numbers favour Como 1907, who have created goals at an above-average rate in front of their own crowd. Away defensive numbers work against US Sassuolo Calcio, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. Como 1907's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.5%
  • 1–18.2%
  • 2–07.8%
  • 3–17.4%
  • 1–06.7%
  • 3–06.0%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 1–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticComo 1907US Sassuolo Calcio
Matches played55
Points per match2.001.40
Goals per match1.801.80
Goals conceded per match1.201.80
Home / away goals scored24
Home / away goals conceded16
Last 5 points107
Last 5 goals scored99
Last 5 goals conceded69
Win percentage60%40%

Como 1907 recent form

DWWWL

US Sassuolo Calcio recent form

LWDWL

Recent form

Como 1907

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Frosinone Calcio0–2
  • Wvs Parma Calcio 19132–1
  • Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
  • Wat Genoa CFC4–1
  • Wat SSC Napoli2–1

US Sassuolo Calcio

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat AC Monza1–2
  • Wvs Juventus3–2
  • Dat Bologna FC 19092–2
  • Wvs Torino FC2–1
  • Lat Atalanta BC1–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.