Serie A · Matchweek 8

Cagliari Calcio vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Cagliari Calcio win50%
Draw32%
Bologna FC 1909 win18%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
24%
Under 2.5 goals
76%
BTTS yes
29%
Over 1.5 goals
51%
Over 3.5 goals
9%
BTTS no
71%
Expected goals
1.14 – 0.57

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Cagliari Calcio have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Bologna FC 1909 have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Cagliari Calcio's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. The model expects a lower-scoring game than the competition average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–020.6%
  • 0–018.2%
  • 1–111.8%
  • 2–011.7%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 3–04.4%
  • 1–23.3%

Team comparison

StatisticCagliari CalcioBologna FC 1909
Matches played55
Points per match2.400.40
Goals per match1.000.60
Goals conceded per match0.401.20
Home / away goals scored10
Home / away goals conceded12
Last 5 points122
Last 5 goals scored53
Last 5 goals conceded26
Win percentage80%0%

Cagliari Calcio recent form

WLWWW

Bologna FC 1909 recent form

LLDLD

Recent form

Cagliari Calcio

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wat Udinese Calcio1–0
  • Wat Atalanta BC2–1
  • Wvs US Lecce1–0
  • Lvs Inter Milan0–1
  • Wat Parma Calcio 19131–0

Bologna FC 1909

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dvs Torino FC1–1
  • Lat SSC Napoli0–1
  • Dvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–2
  • Lat Atalanta BC0–1
  • Lvs SS Lazio0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 3 October 2026
Last updated: 3 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
511
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.7%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.