Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

Borussia Dortmund vs SV 07 Elversberg Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 (GMT)
Kick-off (local)
Sat 7 Nov, 15:30 (CET)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
Dortmund, Germany

United Matchday prediction

Borussia Dortmund win64%
Draw19%
SV 07 Elversberg win16%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
2.25 – 1.05

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits SV 07 Elversberg with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Borussia Dortmund's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Recent results also favour Borussia Dortmund, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.8%
  • 2–09.3%
  • 1–18.7%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 3–17.4%
  • 3–07.0%
  • 2–25.1%
  • 1–24.6%

Team comparison

StatisticBorussia DortmundSV 07 Elversberg
Matches played66
Points per match2.331.67
Goals per match1.832.00
Goals conceded per match0.671.83
Home / away goals scored74
Home / away goals conceded24
Last 5 points117
Last 5 goals scored99
Last 5 goals conceded49
Win percentage67%50%

Borussia Dortmund recent form

WWWDD

SV 07 Elversberg recent form

WLDLW

Recent form

Borussia Dortmund

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 3 conceded

  • Dat 1. FC Union Berlin0–0
  • Lat FK Bodø/Glimt0–1
  • Dvs SV Werder Bremen2–2
  • Wat VfB Stuttgart1–0
  • Wvs SC Paderborn 073–0

SV 07 Elversberg

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wvs FC Augsburg4–3
  • Lat 1. FC Union Berlin0–1
  • Dat FC Schalke 040–0
  • Lvs Bayern Munich1–2
  • Wat Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
672
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
55.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.9%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.