Bundesliga · Matchweek 9

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern Munich Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 (GMT)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

1. FSV Mainz 05 win21%
Draw18%
Bayern Munich win61%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
71%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
58%
BTTS no
29%
Expected goals
1.49 – 2.57

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Bayern Munich with an above-average away defensive record. Bayern Munich carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–28.5%
  • 1–37.3%
  • 1–16.6%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 0–25.7%
  • 2–35.4%
  • 2–14.9%
  • 0–34.9%

Team comparison

Statistic1. FSV Mainz 05Bayern Munich
Matches played65
Points per match1.672.20
Goals per match2.333.20
Goals conceded per match1.670.80
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded73
Last 5 points911
Last 5 goals scored1416
Last 5 goals conceded104
Win percentage50%60%

1. FSV Mainz 05 recent form

WLWLW

Bayern Munich recent form

WDWWD

Recent form

1. FSV Mainz 05

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wat FC Schalke 041–0
  • Lvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–4
  • Wat Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3
  • Lvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
  • Wat Hamburger SV5–0

Bayern Munich

3W 2D 0L in the last 5 · 19 scored, 6 conceded

  • Dat Viking FK3–3
  • Dat FC Augsburg2–2
  • Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin7–0
  • Wat SV 07 Elversberg2–1
  • Wvs FK Bodø/Glimt5–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 7 Nov, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 17 October 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
672
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
55.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
57.9%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.