Bundesliga · Matchweek 7

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs SV Werder Bremen Prediction

Sat 24 Oct, 14:30

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
Competition: Bundesliga
Round: Matchweek 7
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

1. FSV Mainz 05 win56%

Draw20%

SV Werder Bremen win24%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 71%
Under 2.5 goals: 29%
BTTS yes: 68%

Over 1.5 goals: 88%
Over 3.5 goals: 50%
BTTS no: 32%
Expected goals: 2.23 – 1.43

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

1. FSV Mainz 05 have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

2–19.1%
1–18.2%
3–16.8%
2–26.5%
2–06.4%
1–25.9%
1–05.7%
3–24.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	1. FSV Mainz 05	SV Werder Bremen
Matches played	4	4
Points per match	1.75	1.75
Goals per match	2.50	2.00
Goals conceded per match	1.50	2.00
Home / away goals scored	1	2
Home / away goals conceded	3	5
Last 5 points	7	7
Last 5 goals scored	10	8
Last 5 goals conceded	6	8
Win percentage	50%	50%

1. FSV Mainz 05 recent form

DWLW

SV Werder Bremen recent form

LWDW

Recent form

1. FSV Mainz 05

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

Wat Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3
Lvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
Wat Hamburger SV5–0
Dvs SC Paderborn 070–0
Wat 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–0

SV Werder Bremen

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 10 conceded

Wvs FC Augsburg3–2
Dat 1. FC Köln1–1
Wvs RB Leipzig3–1
Lat SC Freiburg1–4
Lvs Borussia Dortmund0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.