Bundesliga · Matchweek 8

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Bayer 04 Leverkusen win80%
Draw12%
VfB Stuttgart win8%
Predicted score
3–0
Over 2.5 goals
77%
Under 2.5 goals
23%
BTTS yes
58%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
57%
BTTS no
42%
Expected goals
3.10 – 0.94

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 3–08.8%
  • 2–08.5%
  • 3–18.3%
  • 2–18.0%
  • 4–06.8%
  • 4–16.4%
  • 1–05.5%
  • 1–15.1%

Team comparison

StatisticBayer 04 LeverkusenVfB Stuttgart
Matches played44
Points per match1.750.75
Goals per match2.501.50
Goals conceded per match1.252.25
Home / away goals scored62
Home / away goals conceded07
Last 5 points73
Last 5 goals scored106
Last 5 goals conceded59
Win percentage50%25%

Bayer 04 Leverkusen recent form

LWDW

VfB Stuttgart recent form

LWLL

Recent form

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs RB Leipzig2–0
  • Dat FC Augsburg2–2
  • Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin4–0
  • Lat SV 07 Elversberg2–3
  • Dvs Hamburger SV1–1

VfB Stuttgart

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lvs Borussia Dortmund0–1
  • Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
  • Wvs Viking FK3–1
  • Wvs 1. FC Köln4–1
  • Lat Bayern Munich1–5

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 31 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 10 October 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
534
1X2 accuracy
46.6%
BTTS accuracy
56.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
11.2%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.