Serie A · Matchweek 3

Bologna FC 1909 vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 6 Sept, 17:00 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 3
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Bologna FC 1909 win30%
Draw28%
US Sassuolo Calcio win42%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
40%
Under 2.5 goals
60%
BTTS yes
46%
Over 1.5 goals
67%
Over 3.5 goals
20%
BTTS no
54%
Expected goals
1.03 – 1.27

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Bologna FC 1909 have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.1%
  • 0–112.8%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 0–010.0%
  • 1–28.3%
  • 0–28.1%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 2–05.3%

Team comparison

StatisticBologna FC 1909US Sassuolo Calcio
Matches played55
Points per match0.401.40
Goals per match0.601.80
Goals conceded per match1.201.80
Home / away goals scored34
Home / away goals conceded46
Last 5 points27
Last 5 goals scored39
Last 5 goals conceded69
Win percentage0%40%

Bologna FC 1909 recent form

LLDLD

US Sassuolo Calcio recent form

LWDWL

Recent form

Bologna FC 1909

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Atalanta BC0–1
  • Lvs SS Lazio0–1
  • Dvs Inter Milan3–3
  • Wat Atalanta BC1–0
  • Wat SSC Napoli3–2

US Sassuolo Calcio

1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wvs Torino FC2–1
  • Lat Atalanta BC1–2
  • Lat Parma Calcio 19130–1
  • Lvs US Lecce2–3
  • Lat Torino FC1–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 6 Sept, 17:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 6 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.