Serie A · Matchweek 1

Bologna FC 1909 vs SS Lazio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 24 Aug, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Bologna FC 1909 win29%
Draw27%
SS Lazio win44%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes
49%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
51%
Expected goals
1.08 – 1.38

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.7%
  • 0–111.8%
  • 1–09.2%
  • 1–28.8%
  • 0–08.6%
  • 0–28.2%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 2–05.0%

Team comparison

StatisticBologna FC 1909SS Lazio
Matches played55
Points per match0.402.60
Goals per match0.601.60
Goals conceded per match1.200.60
Home / away goals scored35
Home / away goals conceded41
Last 5 points213
Last 5 goals scored38
Last 5 goals conceded63
Win percentage0%80%

Bologna FC 1909 recent form

LLDLD

SS Lazio recent form

WWWDW

Recent form

Bologna FC 1909

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dvs Inter Milan3–3
  • Wat Atalanta BC1–0
  • Wat SSC Napoli3–2
  • Dvs Cagliari Calcio0–0
  • Lvs AS Roma0–2

SS Lazio

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 10 conceded

  • Wvs AC Pisa 19092–1
  • Lat AS Roma0–2
  • Lvs Inter Milan0–3
  • Wat US Cremonese2–1
  • Dvs Udinese Calcio3–3

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 24 Aug, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 24 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.