Serie A · Matchweek 1

Atalanta BC vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 23 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Atalanta BC win41%
Draw26%
US Sassuolo Calcio win32%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Under 2.5 goals
52%
BTTS yes
53%
Over 1.5 goals
73%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
BTTS no
47%
Expected goals
1.40 – 1.21

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.5%
  • 1–010.3%
  • 0–18.9%
  • 2–18.7%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 0–07.4%
  • 2–07.2%
  • 0–25.4%

Team comparison

StatisticAtalanta BCUS Sassuolo Calcio
Matches played55
Points per match1.201.40
Goals per match1.001.80
Goals conceded per match1.401.80
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded36
Last 5 points67
Last 5 goals scored59
Last 5 goals conceded79
Win percentage40%40%

Atalanta BC recent form

WWLLL

US Sassuolo Calcio recent form

LWDWL

Recent form

Atalanta BC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
  • Lvs Bologna FC 19090–1
  • Wat AC Milan3–2
  • Dvs Genoa CFC0–0
  • Lat Cagliari Calcio2–3

US Sassuolo Calcio

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lat Parma Calcio 19130–1
  • Lvs US Lecce2–3
  • Lat Torino FC1–2
  • Wvs AC Milan2–0
  • Dat ACF Fiorentina0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 23 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 23 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.