Serie A · Matchweek 1

Atalanta BC vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction

United Matchday prediction

Atalanta BC win48%
Draw28%
US Sassuolo Calcio win24%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes
42%
Over 1.5 goals
64%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
BTTS no
58%
Expected goals
1.33 – 0.84

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Atalanta BC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1015.2%
  • 1112.7%
  • 0011.4%
  • 2010.1%
  • 019.6%
  • 218.5%
  • 125.3%
  • 304.5%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.