Serie A · Matchweek 8

Atalanta BC vs Frosinone Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 (GMT+0)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Atalanta BC win26%
Draw25%
Frosinone Calcio win49%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Under 2.5 goals
51%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
1.06 – 1.58

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Frosinone Calcio have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Frosinone Calcio's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Frosinone Calcio arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–111.9%
  • 0–111.2%
  • 1–29.4%
  • 0–28.9%
  • 1–07.5%
  • 0–07.1%
  • 2–16.3%
  • 2–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticAtalanta BCFrosinone Calcio
Matches played55
Points per match1.202.00
Goals per match1.001.80
Goals conceded per match1.400.80
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded31
Last 5 points610
Last 5 goals scored59
Last 5 goals conceded74
Win percentage40%60%

Atalanta BC recent form

WWLLL

Frosinone Calcio recent form

LWWDW

Recent form

Atalanta BC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Juventus0–2
  • Lvs Cagliari Calcio1–2
  • Lat AS Roma1–2
  • Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1

Frosinone Calcio

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Como 19072–0
  • Dat Genoa CFC1–1
  • Wvs Venezia FC3–2
  • Wat ACF Fiorentina3–0
  • Lvs Juventus0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 4 October 2026
Last updated: 4 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.