Serie A · Matchweek 2

Atalanta BC vs Bologna FC 1909 Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 31 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Atalanta BC win56%
Draw24%
Bologna FC 1909 win20%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
49%
Under 2.5 goals
51%
BTTS yes
50%
Over 1.5 goals
74%
Over 3.5 goals
27%
BTTS no
50%
Expected goals
1.72 – 0.93

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Recent results also favour Atalanta BC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.2%
  • 1–111.3%
  • 2–010.5%
  • 2–19.7%
  • 0–07.1%
  • 0–16.6%
  • 3–06.0%
  • 3–15.6%

Team comparison

StatisticAtalanta BCBologna FC 1909
Matches played55
Points per match1.200.40
Goals per match1.000.60
Goals conceded per match1.401.20
Home / away goals scored40
Home / away goals conceded32
Last 5 points62
Last 5 goals scored53
Last 5 goals conceded76
Win percentage40%0%

Atalanta BC recent form

WWLLL

Bologna FC 1909 recent form

LLDLD

Recent form

Atalanta BC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
  • Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
  • Lvs Bologna FC 19090–1
  • Wat AC Milan3–2
  • Dvs Genoa CFC0–0

Bologna FC 1909

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 6 conceded

  • Lvs SS Lazio0–1
  • Dvs Inter Milan3–3
  • Wat Atalanta BC1–0
  • Wat SSC Napoli3–2
  • Dvs Cagliari Calcio0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 31 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 31 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.