Serie A · Matchweek 3

AS Roma vs Atalanta BC Prediction

Sat 5 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 5 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AS Roma win57%

Draw21%

Atalanta BC win22%

Predicted score: 2–1
Over 2.5 goals: 65%
Under 2.5 goals: 35%
BTTS yes: 62%

Over 1.5 goals: 84%
Over 3.5 goals: 43%
BTTS no: 38%
Expected goals: 2.08 – 1.25

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates AS Roma's home scoring output above the Serie A average. The model credits Atalanta BC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given AS Roma's home defensive numbers. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

2–19.7%
1–19.3%
2–07.8%
1–07.5%
3–16.7%
2–26.0%
1–25.8%
3–05.4%

Team comparison

Statistic	AS Roma	Atalanta BC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.60	1.20
Goals per match	2.80	1.00
Goals conceded per match	0.60	1.40
Home / away goals scored	8	1
Home / away goals conceded	3	4
Last 5 points	13	6
Last 5 goals scored	14	5
Last 5 goals conceded	3	7
Win percentage	80%	40%

AS Roma recent form

WWWWD

Atalanta BC recent form

WWLLL

Recent form

AS Roma

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 15 scored, 2 conceded

Wat US Lecce4–0
Wvs ACF Fiorentina4–0
Wat Hellas Verona FC2–0
Wvs SS Lazio2–0
Wat Parma Calcio 19133–2

Atalanta BC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded

Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
Lvs Bologna FC 19090–1
Wat AC Milan3–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.