Serie A · Matchweek 1

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction

United Matchday prediction

AS Roma win78%
Draw15%
ACF Fiorentina win7%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
58%
Under 2.5 goals
42%
BTTS yes
40%
Over 1.5 goals
80%
Over 3.5 goals
35%
BTTS no
60%
Expected goals
2.42 – 0.57

High confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

AS Roma have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. The model expects fewer away goals given AS Roma's home defensive numbers. Recent results also favour AS Roma, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2014.7%
  • 1012.1%
  • 3011.8%
  • 218.4%
  • 407.2%
  • 117.0%
  • 316.8%
  • 005.0%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.