Serie A · Matchweek 1

AS Roma vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 24 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AS Roma win32%
Draw27%
ACF Fiorentina win40%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
44%
Under 2.5 goals
56%
BTTS yes
50%
Over 1.5 goals
70%
Over 3.5 goals
23%
BTTS no
50%
Expected goals
1.14 – 1.31

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–112.9%
  • 0–111.3%
  • 1–09.9%
  • 0–08.7%
  • 1–28.4%
  • 0–27.4%
  • 2–17.3%
  • 2–05.6%

Team comparison

StatisticAS RomaACF Fiorentina
Matches played55
Points per match2.600.80
Goals per match2.801.20
Goals conceded per match0.602.40
Home / away goals scored84
Home / away goals conceded36
Last 5 points134
Last 5 goals scored146
Last 5 goals conceded312
Win percentage80%20%

AS Roma recent form

WWWWD

ACF Fiorentina recent form

LLLWD

Recent form

AS Roma

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 2 conceded

  • Wat Hellas Verona FC2–0
  • Wvs SS Lazio2–0
  • Wat Parma Calcio 19133–2
  • Wvs ACF Fiorentina4–0
  • Wat Bologna FC 19092–0

ACF Fiorentina

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 5 conceded

  • Dvs Atalanta BC1–1
  • Wat Juventus2–0
  • Dvs Genoa CFC0–0
  • Lat AS Roma0–4
  • Dvs US Sassuolo Calcio0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 24 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 24 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.