Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Olympique Lyonnais
Home
28%
Draw
25%
Away
47%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 51%BTTS: 54%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 2
AS Monaco FC vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 30 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 2
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
AS Monaco FC win41%
Draw23%
Olympique de Marseille win36%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 65%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS yes
- 66%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 85%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS no
- 34%
- Expected goals
- 1.74 – 1.63
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Olympique de Marseille have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. Olympique de Marseille's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–19.8%
- 2–18.5%
- 1–27.9%
- 2–26.9%
- 1–06.0%
- 0–15.6%
- 2–05.2%
- 3–14.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | AS Monaco FC | Olympique de Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 5 | 5 |
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 0 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 13 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 3 | 8 |
| Win percentage | 80% | 20% |
AS Monaco FC recent form
WWWDW
Olympique de Marseille recent form
WLLLL
Recent form
AS Monaco FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded
- Wat Le Havre AC1–0
- Lat RC Strasbourg Alsace4–5
- Lvs Lille OSC0–1
- Wat FC Metz2–1
- Dat Toulouse FC2–2
Olympique de Marseille
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace4–0
- Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19013–1
- Wat Le Havre AC1–0
- Lat FC Nantes0–3
- Dvs OGC Nice1–1
Team news
Olympique de Marseille
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 30 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 30 August 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Lille OSC vs Le Havre AC
Home
65%
Draw
19%
Away
15%
- Predicted score: 2–0Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 54%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs AJ Auxerre
Home
71%
Draw
15%
Away
14%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 82%BTTS: 71%
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Ligue 1
Angers SCO vs Olympique de Marseille
Home
47%
Draw
28%
Away
25%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 44%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.