Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8

AS Monaco FC vs Lille OSC Prediction

Sun 25 Oct, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 (GMT+0)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 8
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AS Monaco FC win47%

Draw26%

Lille OSC win27%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 48%
Under 2.5 goals: 52%
BTTS yes: 51%

Over 1.5 goals: 73%
Over 3.5 goals: 26%
BTTS no: 49%
Expected goals: 1.50 – 1.08

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Lille OSC with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given AS Monaco FC's home defensive numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–112.3%
1–011.4%
2–19.2%
2–08.5%
0–18.2%
0–07.6%
1–26.6%
2–25.0%

Team comparison

Statistic	AS Monaco FC	Lille OSC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	2.60	2.00
Goals per match	1.60	1.60
Goals conceded per match	0.60	0.80
Home / away goals scored	4	4
Home / away goals conceded	1	2
Last 5 points	13	10
Last 5 goals scored	8	8
Last 5 goals conceded	3	4
Win percentage	80%	60%

AS Monaco FC recent form

WWWDW

Lille OSC recent form

WDWWL

Recent form

AS Monaco FC

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded

Wvs Racing Club de Lens2–1
Dat RC Strasbourg Alsace1–1
Wat Paris Saint-Germain2–1
Wvs Olympique de Marseille2–0
Wat Le Havre AC1–0

Lille OSC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

Lat OGC Nice1–2
Wvs ES Troyes AC2–0
Lvs Real Betis Balompié2–3
Wat Toulouse FC1–0
Dvs Paris Saint-Germain2–2

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.