Ligue 1 · Matchweek 8

Stade Brestois 29 vs OGC Nice Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 23 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Ligue 1
Round
Matchweek 8
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Stade Brestois 29 win53%
Draw26%
OGC Nice win21%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
42%
Under 2.5 goals
58%
BTTS yes
44%
Over 1.5 goals
68%
Over 3.5 goals
21%
BTTS no
56%
Expected goals
1.50 – 0.84

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Stade Brestois 29's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–014.4%
  • 1–112.1%
  • 2–010.9%
  • 0–09.6%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 0–18.1%
  • 3–05.4%
  • 1–25.1%

Team comparison

StatisticStade Brestois 29OGC Nice
Matches played55
Points per match1.001.00
Goals per match1.400.60
Goals conceded per match1.601.20
Home / away goals scored20
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points55
Last 5 goals scored73
Last 5 goals conceded86
Win percentage20%20%

Stade Brestois 29 recent form

DDWLL

OGC Nice recent form

DLDLW

Recent form

Stade Brestois 29

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 8 conceded

  • Lat AJ Auxerre1–2
  • Lvs Paris Saint-Germain0–1
  • Wat Le Havre AC2–1
  • Dvs Toulouse FC2–2
  • Dat Le Mans FC2–2

OGC Nice

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 6 conceded

  • Wvs Lille OSC2–1
  • Lat AJ Auxerre0–1
  • Dvs Le Mans FC1–1
  • Lat Paris FC0–3
  • Dvs FC Lorient0–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 2 October 2026
Last updated: 2 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.