Serie A · Matchweek 3

ACF Fiorentina vs Torino FC Prediction

Sat 5 Sept, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 5 Sept, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 3
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

ACF Fiorentina win25%

Draw26%

Torino FC win49%

Predicted score: 0–1
Over 2.5 goals: 44%
Under 2.5 goals: 56%
BTTS yes: 48%

Over 1.5 goals: 70%
Over 3.5 goals: 23%
BTTS no: 52%
Expected goals: 0.97 – 1.48

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

ACF Fiorentina have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Torino FC, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

0–112.8%
1–112.4%
0–29.4%
1–29.2%
0–08.6%
1–08.4%
2–16.0%
0–34.7%

Team comparison

Statistic	ACF Fiorentina	Torino FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	0.80
Goals per match	1.20	1.00
Goals conceded per match	2.40	1.60
Home / away goals scored	2	4
Home / away goals conceded	6	4
Last 5 points	4	4
Last 5 goals scored	6	5
Last 5 goals conceded	12	8
Win percentage	20%	20%

ACF Fiorentina recent form

LLLWD

Torino FC recent form

LLWLD

Recent form

ACF Fiorentina

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 8 conceded

Lvs Frosinone Calcio0–3
Lat AS Roma0–4
Dvs Atalanta BC1–1
Wat Juventus2–0
Dvs Genoa CFC0–0

Torino FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

Lat US Sassuolo Calcio1–2
Lvs AC Milan1–2
Dvs Juventus2–2
Lat Cagliari Calcio1–2
Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.