Serie A · Matchweek 2

ACF Fiorentina vs Frosinone Calcio Prediction

United Matchday prediction

ACF Fiorentina win37%
Draw29%
Frosinone Calcio win33%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Under 2.5 goals
63%
BTTS yes
43%
Over 1.5 goals
63%
Over 3.5 goals
17%
BTTS no
57%
Expected goals
1.12 – 1.04

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees ACF Fiorentina's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. The model expects fewer away goals given ACF Fiorentina's home defensive numbers. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1113.4%
  • 1013.0%
  • 0112.0%
  • 0011.6%
  • 217.5%
  • 207.3%
  • 127.0%
  • 026.2%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.