Serie A · Matchweek 2

ACF Fiorentina vs Frosinone Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

ACF Fiorentina win32%
Draw30%
Frosinone Calcio win38%
Predicted score
0–1
Over 2.5 goals
35%
Under 2.5 goals
65%
BTTS yes
42%
Over 1.5 goals
62%
Over 3.5 goals
16%
BTTS no
58%
Expected goals
0.99 – 1.12

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees ACF Fiorentina's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 0–113.5%
  • 1–113.4%
  • 0–012.1%
  • 1–012.0%
  • 0–27.6%
  • 1–27.5%
  • 2–16.7%
  • 2–06.0%

Team comparison

StatisticACF FiorentinaFrosinone Calcio
Matches played55
Points per match0.802.00
Goals per match1.201.80
Goals conceded per match2.400.80
Home / away goals scored24
Home / away goals conceded61
Last 5 points410
Last 5 goals scored69
Last 5 goals conceded124
Win percentage20%60%

ACF Fiorentina recent form

LLLWD

Frosinone Calcio recent form

LWWDW

Recent form

ACF Fiorentina

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat AS Roma0–4
  • Dvs Atalanta BC1–1
  • Wat Juventus2–0
  • Dvs Genoa CFC0–0
  • Lat AS Roma0–4

Frosinone Calcio

0W 0D 1L in the last 1 · 0 scored, 1 conceded

  • Lvs Juventus0–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.