Serie A · Matchweek 9

ACF Fiorentina vs Atalanta BC Prediction

Thu 29 Oct, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Thu 29 Oct, 19:45 (GMT+0)
Competition: Serie A
Round: Matchweek 9
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

ACF Fiorentina win36%

Draw26%

Atalanta BC win38%

Predicted score: 1–1
Over 2.5 goals: 50%
Under 2.5 goals: 50%
BTTS yes: 54%

Over 1.5 goals: 74%
Over 3.5 goals: 28%
BTTS no: 46%
Expected goals: 1.30 – 1.36

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees ACF Fiorentina's home attacking output as weaker than the Serie A baseline. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–112.4%
0–19.5%
1–09.1%
1–28.4%
2–18.0%
0–07.0%
0–26.5%
2–05.9%

Team comparison

Statistic	ACF Fiorentina	Atalanta BC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	0.80	1.20
Goals per match	1.20	1.00
Goals conceded per match	2.40	1.40
Home / away goals scored	2	1
Home / away goals conceded	6	4
Last 5 points	4	6
Last 5 goals scored	6	5
Last 5 goals conceded	12	7
Win percentage	20%	40%

ACF Fiorentina recent form

LLLWD

Atalanta BC recent form

WWLLL

Recent form

ACF Fiorentina

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 12 conceded

Dvs SSC Napoli1–1
Wat Venezia FC4–2
Lvs Torino FC1–2
Lvs Frosinone Calcio0–3
Lat AS Roma0–4

Atalanta BC

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

Lat Juventus0–2
Lvs Cagliari Calcio1–2
Lat AS Roma1–2
Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.