Serie A · Matchweek 9

AC Monza vs SSC Napoli Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 (GMT+0)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 9
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

AC Monza win29%
Draw22%
SSC Napoli win49%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
BTTS yes
66%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
45%
BTTS no
34%
Expected goals
1.48 – 1.95

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–19.4%
  • 1–29.1%
  • 2–16.9%
  • 2–26.8%
  • 0–16.3%
  • 0–26.1%
  • 1–35.9%
  • 1–04.8%

Team comparison

StatisticAC MonzaSSC Napoli
Matches played55
Points per match0.801.40
Goals per match1.601.40
Goals conceded per match2.401.20
Home / away goals scored45
Home / away goals conceded44
Last 5 points47
Last 5 goals scored87
Last 5 goals conceded126
Win percentage20%40%

AC Monza recent form

LLDLW

SSC Napoli recent form

WLLWD

Recent form

AC Monza

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 12 conceded

  • Wvs US Sassuolo Calcio2–1
  • Lat US Lecce2–3
  • Dat Parma Calcio 19131–1
  • Lvs Udinese Calcio2–3
  • Lat Inter Milan1–4

SSC Napoli

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dat ACF Fiorentina1–1
  • Wvs Bologna FC 19091–0
  • Lvs Arsenal FC0–1
  • Lat Inter Milan2–3
  • Lvs Como 19071–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Wed 28 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 7 October 2026
Last updated: 7 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
512
1X2 accuracy
47.1%
BTTS accuracy
57.4%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.7%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.