Serie A · Matchweek 2

AC Milan vs Venezia FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 28 Aug, 19:45 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Fri 28 Aug, 20:45 (CEST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
Milan, Italy

United Matchday prediction

AC Milan win61%
Draw22%
Venezia FC win17%
Predicted score
1–0
Over 2.5 goals
51%
Under 2.5 goals
49%
BTTS yes
48%
Over 1.5 goals
75%
Over 3.5 goals
28%
BTTS no
52%
Expected goals
1.85 – 0.84

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Recent results also favour AC Milan, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–012.5%
  • 2–011.6%
  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–19.8%
  • 3–07.2%
  • 0–06.8%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 0–15.7%

Team comparison

StatisticAC MilanVenezia FC
Matches played55
Points per match2.200.00
Goals per match2.000.80
Goals conceded per match0.802.60
Home / away goals scored52
Home / away goals conceded05
Last 5 points110
Last 5 goals scored104
Last 5 goals conceded413
Win percentage60%0%

AC Milan recent form

WWDDW

Venezia FC recent form

LLLLL

Recent form

AC Milan

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 9 conceded

  • Wat Torino FC2–1
  • Lvs Cagliari Calcio1–2
  • Wat Genoa CFC2–1
  • Lvs Atalanta BC2–3
  • Lat US Sassuolo Calcio0–2

Venezia FC

0W 0D 1L in the last 1 · 0 scored, 2 conceded

  • Lvs US Lecce0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 28 Aug, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 28 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.