Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 12
1. FC Union Berlin vs Hamburger SV Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 5 Dec, 14:30 (GMT)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
1. FC Union Berlin win45%
Draw24%
Hamburger SV win31%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 56%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 44%
- BTTS yes
- 58%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 79%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS no
- 42%
- Expected goals
- 1.62 – 1.29
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
1. FC Union Berlin have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Hamburger SV arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–111.4%
- 2–19.2%
- 1–08.8%
- 1–27.4%
- 2–07.1%
- 0–17.1%
- 2–25.9%
- 0–05.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | 1. FC Union Berlin | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 0.78 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 0.78 | 1.11 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.33 | 2.22 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 11% | 44% |
1. FC Union Berlin recent form
WDDDL
Hamburger SV recent form
WWLLW
Recent form
1. FC Union Berlin
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 4 conceded
- Lat SC Freiburg0–2
- Dvs 1. FC Köln1–1
- Dat FC Augsburg1–1
- Dvs Borussia Dortmund0–0
- Wvs SV 07 Elversberg1–0
Hamburger SV
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded
- Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach3–1
- Lat Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
- Lat SC Paderborn 070–1
- Wvs VfB Stuttgart1–0
- Wat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Dec, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 14 November 2026
Last updated: 14 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Borussia Dortmund vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Home
62%
Draw
19%
Away
19%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 70%BTTS: 65%
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Bundesliga
RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
81%
Draw
10%
Away
9%
- Predicted score: 3–1Over 2.5: 89%BTTS: 73%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.