Bundesliga · Matchweek 4

VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

VfB Stuttgart win41%
Draw19%
Borussia Dortmund win40%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
86%
Under 2.5 goals
14%
BTTS yes
82%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Over 3.5 goals
70%
BTTS no
18%
Expected goals
2.41 – 2.37

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Borussia Dortmund with an above-average away defensive record. Borussia Dortmund carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–26.9%
  • 2–15.8%
  • 1–25.7%
  • 3–25.5%
  • 2–35.4%
  • 1–14.8%
  • 3–14.7%
  • 1–34.5%

Team comparison

StatisticVfB StuttgartBorussia Dortmund
Matches played44
Points per match0.753.00
Goals per match1.502.25
Goals conceded per match2.250.50
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded22
Last 5 points312
Last 5 goals scored69
Last 5 goals conceded92
Win percentage25%100%

VfB Stuttgart recent form

LWLL

Borussia Dortmund recent form

WWWW

Recent form

VfB Stuttgart

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
  • Wvs Viking FK3–1
  • Wvs 1. FC Köln4–1
  • Lat Bayern Munich1–5
  • Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2–2

Borussia Dortmund

5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs SC Paderborn 073–0
  • Wvs Villarreal CF3–2
  • Wat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
  • Wvs Hamburger SV2–0
  • Wat SV Werder Bremen2–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.