Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 4
VfB Stuttgart vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
VfB Stuttgart win41%
Draw19%
Borussia Dortmund win40%
- Predicted score
- 2–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 86%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 14%
- BTTS yes
- 82%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 95%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 70%
- BTTS no
- 18%
- Expected goals
- 2.41 – 2.37
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model credits Borussia Dortmund with an above-average away defensive record. Borussia Dortmund carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–26.9%
- 2–15.8%
- 1–25.7%
- 3–25.5%
- 2–35.4%
- 1–14.8%
- 3–14.7%
- 1–34.5%
Team comparison
| Statistic | VfB Stuttgart | Borussia Dortmund |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 2.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.67 | 1.78 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.67 | 0.78 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 4 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 6 | 5 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 67% |
VfB Stuttgart recent form
WLLWW
Borussia Dortmund recent form
DDWDW
Recent form
VfB Stuttgart
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 11 conceded
- Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim1–2
- Wvs Viking FK3–1
- Wvs 1. FC Köln4–1
- Lat Bayern Munich1–5
- Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2–2
Borussia Dortmund
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 4 conceded
- Wvs SC Paderborn 073–0
- Wvs Villarreal CF3–2
- Wat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
- Wvs Hamburger SV2–0
- Wat SV Werder Bremen2–0
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
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- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
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- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
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Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.