Bundesliga · Matchweek 2

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FC Köln Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 4 Sept, 19:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

VfB Stuttgart win48%
Draw19%
1. FC Köln win34%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
85%
Under 2.5 goals
15%
BTTS yes
81%
Over 1.5 goals
95%
Over 3.5 goals
69%
BTTS no
19%
Expected goals
2.54 – 2.15

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

1. FC Köln carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. 1. FC Köln arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–26.9%
  • 2–16.4%
  • 3–25.8%
  • 3–15.4%
  • 1–25.4%
  • 1–15.0%
  • 2–34.9%
  • 3–34.2%

Team comparison

StatisticVfB Stuttgart1. FC Köln
Matches played44
Points per match0.751.00
Goals per match1.501.50
Goals conceded per match2.252.25
Home / away goals scored42
Home / away goals conceded26
Last 5 points34
Last 5 goals scored66
Last 5 goals conceded99
Win percentage25%25%

VfB Stuttgart recent form

LWLL

1. FC Köln recent form

WLDL

Recent form

VfB Stuttgart

1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 12 conceded

  • Lat Bayern Munich1–5
  • Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2–2
  • Wvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–1
  • Dat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–3
  • Dvs SV Werder Bremen1–1

1. FC Köln

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 14 conceded

  • Wvs TSG 1899 Hoffenheim3–2
  • Lat Bayern Munich1–5
  • Lvs 1. FC Heidenheim 18461–3
  • Dat 1. FC Union Berlin2–2
  • Lvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Fri 4 Sept, 19:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 4 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.