Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Schalke 04 win29%
Draw24%
1. FSV Mainz 05 win48%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 58%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 42%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 80%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 36%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 1.29 – 1.73
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees FC Schalke 04's home attacking output as weaker than the Bundesliga baseline. The model credits 1. FSV Mainz 05 with an above-average away defensive record. 1. FSV Mainz 05 carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.9%
- 1–29.4%
- 0–18.4%
- 0–27.3%
- 2–17.0%
- 1–06.3%
- 2–26.1%
- 1–35.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Schalke 04 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 0.67 | 1.11 |
| Goals per match | 0.56 | 2.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.22 | 2.11 |
| Home / away goals scored | 0 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 1 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 2 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 11% | 33% |
FC Schalke 04 recent form
LLDLL
1. FSV Mainz 05 recent form
LWLLL
Recent form
FC Schalke 04
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 6 conceded
- Lat SC Freiburg1–2
- Dvs SV 07 Elversberg0–0
- Wat 1. FC Union Berlin3–1
- Dvs Bayern Munich0–0
- Lat FC Augsburg0–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 10 conceded
- Lvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–4
- Wat Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3
- Lvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
- Wat Hamburger SV5–0
- Dvs SC Paderborn 070–0
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 17 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.