Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart
Home
37%
Draw
21%
Away
42%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 6
FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
FC Schalke 04 win32%
Draw23%
1. FSV Mainz 05 win44%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 1.42 – 1.71
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees FC Schalke 04's home attacking output as weaker than the Bundesliga baseline. The model credits 1. FSV Mainz 05 with an above-average away defensive record. 1. FSV Mainz 05 carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.6%
- 1–29.1%
- 2–17.5%
- 0–17.5%
- 2–26.4%
- 0–26.4%
- 1–06.2%
- 1–35.2%
Team comparison
| Statistic | FC Schalke 04 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 1.25 | 1.75 |
| Goals per match | 0.75 | 2.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.00 | 1.50 |
| Home / away goals scored | 0 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 0 | 3 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 7 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 4 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 25% | 50% |
FC Schalke 04 recent form
LDWD
1. FSV Mainz 05 recent form
DWLW
Recent form
FC Schalke 04
1W 2D 1L in the last 4 · 3 scored, 4 conceded
- Dvs SV 07 Elversberg0–0
- Wat 1. FC Union Berlin3–1
- Dvs Bayern Munich0–0
- Lat FC Augsburg0–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded
- Wat Borussia Mönchengladbach4–3
- Lvs Eintracht Frankfurt1–3
- Wat Hamburger SV5–0
- Dvs SC Paderborn 070–0
- Wat 1. FC Heidenheim 18462–0
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 17 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 26 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.