Serie A · Matchweek 10

US Sassuolo Calcio vs ACF Fiorentina Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Mon 2 Nov, 17:30 (GMT+0)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

US Sassuolo Calcio win60%
Draw19%
ACF Fiorentina win21%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
74%
Under 2.5 goals
26%
BTTS yes
69%
Over 1.5 goals
90%
Over 3.5 goals
54%
BTTS no
31%
Expected goals
2.44 – 1.41

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

ACF Fiorentina have conceded at a higher rate away from home than the competition average. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.9%
  • 1–17.3%
  • 3–17.3%
  • 2–06.3%
  • 2–26.3%
  • 1–05.2%
  • 1–25.2%
  • 3–05.1%

Team comparison

StatisticUS Sassuolo CalcioACF Fiorentina
Matches played66
Points per match1.330.67
Goals per match1.671.17
Goals conceded per match1.672.33
Home / away goals scored65
Home / away goals conceded48
Last 5 points84
Last 5 goals scored97
Last 5 goals conceded810
Win percentage33%17%

US Sassuolo Calcio recent form

WDWLD

ACF Fiorentina recent form

LLWDL

Recent form

US Sassuolo Calcio

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs AC Milan1–1
  • Lat AC Monza1–2
  • Wvs Juventus3–2
  • Dat Bologna FC 19092–2
  • Wvs Torino FC2–1

ACF Fiorentina

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 10 conceded

  • Lat Genoa CFC1–2
  • Dvs SSC Napoli1–1
  • Wat Venezia FC4–2
  • Lvs Torino FC1–2
  • Lvs Frosinone Calcio0–3

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Mon 2 Nov, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 12 October 2026
Last updated: 13 October 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
607
1X2 accuracy
47.0%
BTTS accuracy
56.8%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.3%
Exact score
11.2%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.