Serie A · Matchweek 7

Juventus vs SS Lazio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Kick-off (local)
Sun 18 Oct, 20:45 (CEST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
Turin, Italy

United Matchday prediction

Juventus win38%
Draw28%
SS Lazio win34%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
43%
Under 2.5 goals
57%
BTTS yes
49%
Over 1.5 goals
69%
Over 3.5 goals
22%
BTTS no
51%
Expected goals
1.25 – 1.16

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits SS Lazio with an above-average away defensive record. The model expects fewer away goals given Juventus's home defensive numbers. The model sees relatively little separation between the two teams. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–113.0%
  • 1–011.2%
  • 0–110.4%
  • 0–09.0%
  • 2–18.1%
  • 1–27.6%
  • 2–07.0%
  • 0–26.1%

Team comparison

StatisticJuventusSS Lazio
Matches played55
Points per match2.002.60
Goals per match1.601.60
Goals conceded per match0.800.60
Home / away goals scored55
Home / away goals conceded11
Last 5 points1013
Last 5 goals scored88
Last 5 goals conceded43
Win percentage60%80%

Juventus recent form

WWDLW

SS Lazio recent form

WWWDW

Recent form

Juventus

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Atalanta BC2–0
  • Lat US Sassuolo Calcio2–3
  • Dvs AC Milan1–1
  • Wvs Parma Calcio 19132–0
  • Wat Frosinone Calcio1–0

SS Lazio

4W 1D 0L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wat Venezia FC2–0
  • Dvs AC Milan2–2
  • Wat Udinese Calcio2–1
  • Wvs Genoa CFC1–0
  • Wat Bologna FC 19091–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.