Serie A · Matchweek 7

Frosinone Calcio vs US Sassuolo Calcio Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Fri 16 Oct, 19:45 (BST)
Competition
Serie A
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Frosinone Calcio win58%
Draw21%
US Sassuolo Calcio win21%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
64%
Under 2.5 goals
36%
BTTS yes
61%
Over 1.5 goals
84%
Over 3.5 goals
42%
BTTS no
39%
Expected goals
2.12 – 1.20

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against US Sassuolo Calcio, who have shipped goals above the Serie A average on the road. Frosinone Calcio's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Frosinone Calcio, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–19.8%
  • 1–19.2%
  • 2–08.2%
  • 1–07.7%
  • 3–16.9%
  • 2–25.8%
  • 3–05.7%
  • 1–25.5%

Team comparison

StatisticFrosinone CalcioUS Sassuolo Calcio
Matches played55
Points per match2.001.40
Goals per match1.801.80
Goals conceded per match0.801.80
Home / away goals scored54
Home / away goals conceded36
Last 5 points107
Last 5 goals scored99
Last 5 goals conceded49
Win percentage60%40%

Frosinone Calcio recent form

LWWDW

US Sassuolo Calcio recent form

LWDWL

Recent form

Frosinone Calcio

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 4 conceded

  • Wvs Como 19072–0
  • Dat Genoa CFC1–1
  • Wvs Venezia FC3–2
  • Wat ACF Fiorentina3–0
  • Lvs Juventus0–1

US Sassuolo Calcio

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded

  • Lat AC Monza1–2
  • Wvs Juventus3–2
  • Dat Bologna FC 19092–2
  • Wvs Torino FC2–1
  • Lat Atalanta BC1–2

Where to watch (UK)

Serie A matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 16 Oct, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 25 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.