Bundesliga
FC Schalke 04 vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
32%
Draw
23%
Away
44%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 60%BTTS: 62%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 3
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs VfB Stuttgart Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 3
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win49%
Draw19%
VfB Stuttgart win32%
- Predicted score
- 2–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 83%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 17%
- BTTS yes
- 79%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 94%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 66%
- BTTS no
- 21%
- Expected goals
- 2.49 – 2.01
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against VfB Stuttgart, who have shipped goals above the Bundesliga average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–27.0%
- 2–16.9%
- 3–25.8%
- 3–15.7%
- 1–25.6%
- 1–15.6%
- 2–34.7%
- 3–33.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | VfB Stuttgart |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 4 | 4 |
| Points per match | 0.75 | 0.75 |
| Goals per match | 1.75 | 1.50 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.50 | 2.25 |
| Home / away goals scored | 4 | 2 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 4 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 7 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 10 | 9 |
| Win percentage | 25% | 25% |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim recent form
LLWL
VfB Stuttgart recent form
LWLL
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 13 conceded
- Lvs Borussia Dortmund2–3
- Lat 1. FC Köln2–3
- Lat Borussia Mönchengladbach0–4
- Wvs SV Werder Bremen1–0
- Dvs VfB Stuttgart3–3
VfB Stuttgart
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 10 conceded
- Wvs Viking FK3–1
- Wvs 1. FC Köln4–1
- Lat Bayern Munich1–5
- Dat Eintracht Frankfurt2–2
- Wvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–1
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 12 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 12 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 510
- 1X2 accuracy
- 46.9%
- BTTS accuracy
- 57.5%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.8%
- Exact score
- 10.6%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs VfB Stuttgart
Home
37%
Draw
21%
Away
42%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 73%BTTS: 72%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs SC Freiburg
Home
57%
Draw
20%
Away
23%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 66%
Low confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.