Bundesliga
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs Borussia Dortmund
Home
16%
Draw
18%
Away
67%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 69%BTTS: 62%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga · Matchweek 5
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Hamburger SV Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 (BST)
- Competition
- Bundesliga
- Round
- Matchweek 5
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win73%
Draw15%
Hamburger SV win12%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 28%
- BTTS yes
- 60%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 89%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 51%
- BTTS no
- 40%
- Expected goals
- 2.71 – 1.03
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Away defensive numbers work against Hamburger SV, who have shipped goals above the Bundesliga average on the road. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.0%
- 2–08.8%
- 3–18.1%
- 3–07.9%
- 1–16.6%
- 1–06.5%
- 4–15.5%
- 4–05.4%
Team comparison
| Statistic | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | Hamburger SV |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 9 | 9 |
| Points per match | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| Goals per match | 1.78 | 1.11 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.89 | 2.22 |
| Home / away goals scored | 11 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 8 | 13 |
| Last 5 points | 9 | 9 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 8 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 44% | 44% |
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim recent form
LWWLW
Hamburger SV recent form
WWLLW
Recent form
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 14 conceded
- Lat SC Paderborn 071–3
- Wvs VfB Stuttgart2–1
- Lvs Borussia Dortmund2–3
- Lat 1. FC Köln2–3
- Lat Borussia Mönchengladbach0–4
Hamburger SV
1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 3 scored, 14 conceded
- Wvs 1. FC Köln2–1
- Lat RB Leipzig0–5
- Lvs 1. FSV Mainz 050–5
- Lat Borussia Dortmund0–2
- Dat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–1
Team news
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim
Where to watch (UK)
Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 10 Oct, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 19 September 2026
Last updated: 10 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Bundesliga
FC Augsburg vs 1. FSV Mainz 05
Home
33%
Draw
20%
Away
46%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 77%BTTS: 75%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
SV Werder Bremen vs Hamburger SV
Home
65%
Draw
18%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 2–1Over 2.5: 72%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV vs Bayern Munich
Home
13%
Draw
15%
Away
71%
- Predicted score: 1–2Over 2.5: 76%BTTS: 65%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.