Bundesliga · Matchweek 11

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs FC Augsburg Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 29 Nov, 16:30 (GMT)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 11
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win57%
Draw17%
FC Augsburg win26%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
87%
Under 2.5 goals
13%
BTTS yes
82%
Over 1.5 goals
96%
Over 3.5 goals
73%
BTTS no
18%
Expected goals
2.94 – 2.00

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Away defensive numbers work against FC Augsburg, who have shipped goals above the Bundesliga average on the road. FC Augsburg's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–26.2%
  • 2–16.2%
  • 3–26.1%
  • 3–16.1%
  • 4–24.5%
  • 4–14.5%
  • 1–24.2%
  • 1–14.2%

Team comparison

StatisticTSG 1899 HoffenheimFC Augsburg
Matches played99
Points per match1.331.00
Goals per match1.782.22
Goals conceded per match1.892.22
Home / away goals scored1111
Home / away goals conceded813
Last 5 points92
Last 5 goals scored99
Last 5 goals conceded714
Win percentage44%22%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim recent form

LWWLW

FC Augsburg recent form

DLDLL

Recent form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs FC Schalke 042–1
  • Lat SV Werder Bremen0–2
  • Wvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen3–0
  • Wat Borussia Mönchengladbach2–1
  • Lvs Hamburger SV2–3

FC Augsburg

0W 2D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 14 conceded

  • Lat RB Leipzig2–5
  • Lvs SC Freiburg1–2
  • Dvs 1. FC Union Berlin1–1
  • Lat SV 07 Elversberg3–4
  • Dvs Bayern Munich2–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sun 29 Nov, 16:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.