Bundesliga · Matchweek 2

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs Borussia Dortmund Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 5 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim win49%
Draw20%
Borussia Dortmund win31%
Predicted score
2–1
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
24%
BTTS yes
74%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
BTTS no
26%
Expected goals
2.21 – 1.75

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits Borussia Dortmund with an above-average away defensive record. Borussia Dortmund carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Borussia Dortmund arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–18.1%
  • 1–17.3%
  • 2–27.1%
  • 1–26.4%
  • 3–16.0%
  • 3–25.3%
  • 2–04.6%
  • 1–04.2%

Team comparison

StatisticTSG 1899 HoffenheimBorussia Dortmund
Matches played44
Points per match0.753.00
Goals per match1.752.25
Goals conceded per match2.500.50
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded42
Last 5 points312
Last 5 goals scored79
Last 5 goals conceded102
Win percentage25%100%

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim recent form

LLWL

Borussia Dortmund recent form

WWWW

Recent form

TSG 1899 Hoffenheim

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat 1. FC Köln2–3
  • Lat Borussia Mönchengladbach0–4
  • Wvs SV Werder Bremen1–0
  • Dvs VfB Stuttgart3–3
  • Wat Hamburger SV2–1

Borussia Dortmund

4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 11 scored, 3 conceded

  • Wvs Hamburger SV2–0
  • Wat SV Werder Bremen2–0
  • Wvs Eintracht Frankfurt3–2
  • Lat Borussia Mönchengladbach0–1
  • Wvs SC Freiburg4–0

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 5 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 5 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.