Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 12
Toulouse FC vs Stade Rennais FC 1901 Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 29 Nov, 16:15 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 12
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Toulouse FC win53%
Draw20%
Stade Rennais FC 1901 win27%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 76%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 24%
- BTTS yes
- 73%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 91%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 57%
- BTTS no
- 27%
- Expected goals
- 2.34 – 1.66
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Toulouse FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Away defensive numbers work against Stade Rennais FC 1901, who have shipped goals above the Ligue 1 average on the road. Stade Rennais FC 1901's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–18.3%
- 1–17.1%
- 2–26.9%
- 3–16.5%
- 1–25.9%
- 3–25.4%
- 2–05.0%
- 1–04.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Toulouse FC | Stade Rennais FC 1901 |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.30 | 1.60 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 2.10 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 2.10 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 14 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 13 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 12 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 50% |
Toulouse FC recent form
DWDLW
Stade Rennais FC 1901 recent form
WLWLL
Recent form
Toulouse FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace3–1
- Lat Olympique de Marseille0–2
- Dvs ES Troyes AC0–0
- Wat Le Mans FC3–0
- Dat AS Monaco FC2–2
Stade Rennais FC 1901
2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 13 scored, 12 conceded
- Lvs Lille OSC1–2
- Lat OGC Nice2–5
- Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace3–0
- Lat Paris FC3–4
- Wvs AJ Auxerre4–1
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sun 29 Nov, 16:15 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 8 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.