Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 13
Toulouse FC vs Paris Saint-Germain Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 4 Dec, 19:45 (GMT)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 13
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Toulouse FC win17%
Draw18%
Paris Saint-Germain win65%
- Predicted score
- 1–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 69%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 31%
- BTTS yes
- 62%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 87%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 47%
- BTTS no
- 38%
- Expected goals
- 1.15 – 2.39
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Toulouse FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. The model credits Paris Saint-Germain with an above-average away defensive record. Paris Saint-Germain carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–29.5%
- 0–28.3%
- 1–18.0%
- 1–37.6%
- 0–16.9%
- 0–36.6%
- 2–25.5%
- 2–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Toulouse FC | Paris Saint-Germain |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.30 | 2.30 |
| Goals per match | 1.50 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Home / away goals scored | 6 | 15 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Last 5 points | 8 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 8 | 14 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 3 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 70% |
Toulouse FC recent form
DWDLW
Paris Saint-Germain recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Toulouse FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 5 conceded
- Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace3–1
- Lat Olympique de Marseille0–2
- Dvs ES Troyes AC0–0
- Wat Le Mans FC3–0
- Dat AS Monaco FC2–2
Paris Saint-Germain
5W 0D 0L in the last 5 · 18 scored, 3 conceded
- Wvs ES Troyes AC1–0
- Wat Villarreal CF6–0
- Wat Le Havre AC5–1
- Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2–0
- Wvs Barcelona4–2
Team news
Paris Saint-Germain
- United ease troubles with sensational Roma comeback, PSG rampant in Champions League
- Bradley Barcola transfer news: Arsenal could hijack Liverpool's move for PSG winger - Paper Talk
- Can PSG win a third straight Champions League without injured Kvaratskhelia?
- Transfer rumors, news: Arsenal, Chelsea, City tracking PSG star Doué
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 4 Dec, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Ligue 1
Racing Club de Lens vs Toulouse FC
Home
47%
Draw
22%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1
Stade Brestois 29 vs Paris FC
Home
45%
Draw
25%
Away
31%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 58%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.