Ligue 1 · Matchweek 5

Toulouse FC vs Le Havre AC Prediction

Sat 19 Sept, 19:45

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
Competition: Ligue 1
Round: Matchweek 5
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Toulouse FC win30%

Draw31%

Le Havre AC win39%

Predicted score: 0–1
Over 2.5 goals: 32%
Under 2.5 goals: 68%
BTTS yes: 39%

Over 1.5 goals: 59%
Over 3.5 goals: 14%
BTTS no: 61%
Expected goals: 0.90 – 1.08

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model sees Toulouse FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Ligue 1 baseline. The model credits Le Havre AC with an above-average away defensive record. Both defensive records point toward a tighter, lower-scoring fixture. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

0–114.9%
0–013.7%
1–113.4%
1–012.4%
0–28.1%
1–27.3%
2–16.1%
2–05.6%

Team comparison

Statistic	Toulouse FC	Le Havre AC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.00	0.40
Goals per match	1.40	0.80
Goals conceded per match	1.80	1.40
Home / away goals scored	3	3
Home / away goals conceded	5	4
Last 5 points	5	2
Last 5 goals scored	7	4
Last 5 goals conceded	9	7
Win percentage	20%	0%

Toulouse FC recent form

LDLDW

Le Havre AC recent form

LDLDL

Recent form

Toulouse FC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 8 conceded

Dat FC Lorient2–2
Lvs Lille OSC0–1
Dat Stade Brestois 292–2
Lvs Olympique Lyonnais0–2
Wvs Olympique Lyonnais2–1

Le Havre AC

1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 4 scored, 4 conceded

Dvs Angers SCO0–0
Lvs Stade Brestois 291–2
Dat Olympique Lyonnais1–1
Lvs AS Monaco FC0–1
Wat FC Lorient2–0

Where to watch (UK)

Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.