Premier League · Matchweek 2

Tottenham Hotspur FC vs Newcastle United FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 17:30 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 2
Venue
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium, London, England

United Matchday prediction

Tottenham Hotspur FC win40%
Draw23%
Newcastle United FC win36%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
62%
Under 2.5 goals
38%
BTTS yes
63%
Over 1.5 goals
83%
Over 3.5 goals
39%
BTTS no
37%
Expected goals
1.63 – 1.55

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Tottenham Hotspur FC have scored at a below-average rate at home, which limits the model's home goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–110.5%
  • 2–18.6%
  • 1–28.1%
  • 1–06.8%
  • 2–26.6%
  • 0–16.4%
  • 2–05.5%
  • 0–25.0%

Team comparison

StatisticTottenham Hotspur FCNewcastle United FC
Matches played55
Points per match0.401.60
Goals per match0.401.80
Goals conceded per match1.601.80
Home / away goals scored23
Home / away goals conceded54
Last 5 points28
Last 5 goals scored29
Last 5 goals conceded89
Win percentage0%40%

Tottenham Hotspur FC recent form

LLDDL

Newcastle United FC recent form

DWDLW

Recent form

Tottenham Hotspur FC

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded

  • Lat Brentford FC0–3
  • Wvs Everton FC1–0
  • Lat Chelsea FC1–2
  • Dvs Leeds United FC1–1
  • Wat Aston Villa FC2–1

Newcastle United FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 7 conceded

  • Dvs Liverpool FC2–2
  • Lat Fulham FC0–2
  • Wvs West Ham United FC3–1
  • Dat Nottingham Forest FC1–1
  • Wvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC3–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 17:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.