Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 6
Coventry City FC vs Newcastle United FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 6
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Coventry City FC win16%
Draw20%
Newcastle United FC win64%
- Predicted score
- 0–2
- Over 2.5 goals
- 60%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 40%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 82%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 38%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 0.98 – 2.14
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Coventry City FC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 0–210.1%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–19.4%
- 1–19.3%
- 0–37.2%
- 1–37.1%
- 2–24.9%
- 2–14.6%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Coventry City FC | Newcastle United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 0.90 | 1.20 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.30 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.90 | 1.60 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 7 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 9 | 9 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 9 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 9 | 7 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 30% |
Coventry City FC recent form
WLLWL
Newcastle United FC recent form
LLWLD
Recent form
Coventry City FC
1W 0D 4L in the last 5 · 1 scored, 10 conceded
- Wat Nottingham Forest FC1–0
- Lvs Brighton & Hove Albion FC0–5
- Lat Manchester City FC0–1
- Lvs Hull City AFC0–1
- Lat Arsenal FC0–3
Newcastle United FC
2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 9 conceded
- Wvs Hull City AFC2–1
- Lat Leeds United FC1–4
- Dvs AFC Bournemouth2–2
- Wat Tottenham Hotspur FC2–0
- Dvs Liverpool FC2–2
Team news
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Mon 12 Oct, 20:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 21 September 2026
Last updated: 12 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.