Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 11
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 (GMT)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 11
- Venue
- MKM Stadium, Hull, England
United Matchday prediction
Hull City AFC win20%
Draw22%
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win58%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 57%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 43%
- BTTS yes
- 55%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 80%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 35%
- BTTS no
- 45%
- Expected goals
- 1.04 – 1.93
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model sees Hull City AFC's home attacking output as weaker than the Premier League baseline. The model credits Brighton & Hove Albion FC with an above-average away defensive record. Brighton & Hove Albion FC carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. Brighton & Hove Albion FC arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–110.3%
- 1–29.9%
- 0–19.9%
- 0–29.6%
- 1–36.4%
- 0–36.2%
- 2–15.3%
- 1–05.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Hull City AFC | Brighton & Hove Albion FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.10 | 2.20 |
| Goals per match | 1.10 | 2.60 |
| Goals conceded per match | 1.10 | 0.70 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 11 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 5 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 3 | 12 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 5 | 10 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 7 | 2 |
| Win percentage | 20% | 70% |
Hull City AFC recent form
DLDDL
Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form
WWLWW
Recent form
Hull City AFC
0W 3D 2L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 7 conceded
- Lat Arsenal FC0–1
- Dvs Ipswich Town FC2–2
- Dvs Brentford FC1–1
- Lat Fulham FC0–1
- Dvs Everton FC2–2
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
4W 0D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 2 conceded
- Wvs Brentford FC2–0
- Wat Manchester City FC1–0
- Lat Liverpool FC0–2
- Wvs Crystal Palace FC5–0
- Wat Sunderland AFC2–0
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 22 Nov, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 1 November 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
47%
Draw
27%
Away
26%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 44%BTTS: 48%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.