Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 7
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Brighton & Hove Albion FC win73%
Draw16%
Crystal Palace FC win11%
- Predicted score
- 2–0
- Over 2.5 goals
- 67%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 33%
- BTTS yes
- 54%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 86%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 45%
- BTTS no
- 46%
- Expected goals
- 2.56 – 0.89
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
The model rates Brighton & Hove Albion FC's home scoring output above the Premier League average. Brighton & Hove Albion FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Brighton & Hove Albion FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–010.4%
- 2–19.3%
- 3–08.9%
- 1–08.1%
- 3–17.9%
- 1–17.2%
- 4–05.7%
- 4–15.1%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Brighton & Hove Albion FC | Crystal Palace FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.70 |
| Goals per match | 2.60 | 1.00 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.70 | 2.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 15 | 3 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 1 | 11 |
| Last 5 points | 12 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 10 | 4 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 2 | 13 |
| Win percentage | 70% | 20% |
Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form
WWLWW
Crystal Palace FC recent form
WLLLL
Recent form
Brighton & Hove Albion FC
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 14 scored, 5 conceded
- Wat Sunderland AFC2–0
- Wvs Arsenal FC3–0
- Wat Coventry City FC5–0
- Dvs Leeds United FC1–1
- Lat Chelsea FC3–4
Crystal Palace FC
2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 10 conceded
- Wvs Nottingham Forest FC3–1
- Dat Leeds United FC0–0
- Lvs Ipswich Town FC2–3
- Wat Fulham FC3–2
- Lvs Manchester City FC1–4
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
Premier League
Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Brentford FC vs Everton FC
Home
51%
Draw
27%
Away
22%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 40%BTTS: 43%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League
Coventry City FC vs Ipswich Town FC
Home
40%
Draw
21%
Away
39%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 75%BTTS: 74%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.