Premier League · Matchweek 7

Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs Crystal Palace FC Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
Competition
Premier League
Round
Matchweek 7
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Brighton & Hove Albion FC win75%
Draw15%
Crystal Palace FC win10%
Predicted score
2–0
Over 2.5 goals
67%
Under 2.5 goals
33%
BTTS yes
52%
Over 1.5 goals
86%
Over 3.5 goals
45%
BTTS no
48%
Expected goals
2.62 – 0.83

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model rates Brighton & Hove Albion FC's home scoring output above the Premier League average. Brighton & Hove Albion FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Brighton & Hove Albion FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–010.9%
  • 3–09.5%
  • 2–19.1%
  • 1–08.3%
  • 3–17.9%
  • 1–16.9%
  • 4–06.2%
  • 4–15.2%

Team comparison

StatisticBrighton & Hove Albion FCCrystal Palace FC
Matches played55
Points per match2.000.80
Goals per match3.201.20
Goals conceded per match1.002.20
Home / away goals scored83
Home / away goals conceded14
Last 5 points104
Last 5 goals scored166
Last 5 goals conceded511
Win percentage60%20%

Brighton & Hove Albion FC recent form

WLDWW

Crystal Palace FC recent form

LLWLD

Recent form

Brighton & Hove Albion FC

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 16 scored, 5 conceded

  • Wvs Arsenal FC3–0
  • Wat Coventry City FC5–0
  • Dvs Leeds United FC1–1
  • Lat Chelsea FC3–4
  • Wvs Aston Villa FC4–0

Crystal Palace FC

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 11 conceded

  • Dat Leeds United FC0–0
  • Lvs Ipswich Town FC2–3
  • Wat Fulham FC3–2
  • Lvs Manchester City FC1–4
  • Lat Everton FC0–2

Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 29 September 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.