Premier League
AFC Bournemouth vs Nottingham Forest FC
Home
62%
Draw
21%
Away
17%
- Predicted score: 1–0Over 2.5: 55%BTTS: 52%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Premier League · Matchweek 7
Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
- Competition
- Premier League
- Round
- Matchweek 7
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Leeds United FC win49%
Draw25%
Manchester United FC win26%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 49%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 51%
- BTTS yes
- 51%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 74%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 27%
- BTTS no
- 49%
- Expected goals
- 1.56 – 1.05
Medium confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Leeds United FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–112.0%
- 1–011.4%
- 2–19.4%
- 2–08.9%
- 0–17.7%
- 0–07.3%
- 1–26.3%
- 2–24.9%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Leeds United FC | Manchester United FC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals conceded per match | 0.80 | 1.90 |
| Home / away goals scored | 7 | 4 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 3 | 8 |
| Last 5 points | 5 | 3 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 3 | 6 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 5 | 11 |
| Win percentage | 30% | 10% |
Leeds United FC recent form
LDDLW
Manchester United FC recent form
DDLLD
Recent form
Leeds United FC
1W 3D 1L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 5 conceded
- Lat Arsenal FC1–2
- Dvs Crystal Palace FC0–0
- Wvs Newcastle United FC4–1
- Dat Brighton & Hove Albion FC1–1
- Dvs Brentford FC1–1
Manchester United FC
1W 2D 2L in the last 5 · 6 scored, 5 conceded
- Lat Atlético Madrid0–2
- Dvs Tottenham Hotspur FC1–1
- Dat Fulham FC1–1
- Lvs Manchester City FC0–1
- Wvs Sabah FK4–0
Team news
Manchester United FC
- Man United complete first transfer of Mauricio Pochettino era as wonderkid joins
- Mauricio Pochettino: Man Utd close to agreeing deal with Michael Carrick's potential successor ahead of Monaco
- USA dressing room break silence on Mauricio Pochettino's exit for Manchester United
- Two players Mauricio Pochettino must sign for Man United named and profiled
Where to watch (UK)
Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 27 September 2026
Last updated: 18 October 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
Related predictions
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Hull City AFC vs Brighton & Hove Albion FC
Home
20%
Draw
22%
Away
58%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 57%BTTS: 55%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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51%
Draw
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Away
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Home
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Draw
21%
Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.