Premier League · Matchweek 7

Leeds United FC vs Manchester United FC Prediction

Sun 18 Oct, 14:00

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK): Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 (BST)
Competition: Premier League
Round: Matchweek 7
Venue: To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

Leeds United FC win53%

Draw24%

Manchester United FC win22%

Predicted score: 1–0
Over 2.5 goals: 50%
Under 2.5 goals: 50%
BTTS yes: 51%

Over 1.5 goals: 75%
Over 3.5 goals: 28%
BTTS no: 49%
Expected goals: 1.68 – 1.00

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Leeds United FC's home defensive record is tighter than the competition average, which suppresses the away goal expectation. Recent results also favour Leeds United FC, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

1–011.5%
1–111.5%
2–09.7%
2–19.7%
0–06.8%
0–16.8%
1–25.7%
3–05.4%

Team comparison

Statistic	Leeds United FC	Manchester United FC
Matches played	5	5
Points per match	1.80	1.00
Goals per match	1.40	1.60
Goals conceded per match	0.60	1.60
Home / away goals scored	5	3
Home / away goals conceded	2	5
Last 5 points	9	5
Last 5 goals scored	7	8
Last 5 goals conceded	3	8
Win percentage	40%	20%

Leeds United FC recent form

WDDWD

Manchester United FC recent form

LWDLD

Recent form

Leeds United FC

2W 3D 0L in the last 5 · 7 scored, 3 conceded

Dvs Crystal Palace FC0–0
Wvs Newcastle United FC4–1
Dat Brighton & Hove Albion FC1–1
Dvs Brentford FC1–1
Wat Nottingham Forest FC1–0

Manchester United FC

2W 2D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 6 conceded

Dat Fulham FC1–1
Lvs Manchester City FC0–1
Wvs Sabah FK4–0
Dat Everton FC2–2
Wvs Ipswich Town FC5–2

Team news

Leeds United FC

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Manchester United FC

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Where to watch (UK)

Premier League matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports, TNT Sports, Amazon Prime Video (selected rounds), BBC Match of the Day (highlights). Kick-off is Sun 18 Oct, 14:00 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Saturday 15:00 UK kick-offs are not broadcast live in the UK.