Bundesliga · Matchweek 4

SV Werder Bremen vs FC Augsburg Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 19 Sept, 14:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 4
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SV Werder Bremen win34%
Draw19%
FC Augsburg win47%
Predicted score
2–2
Over 2.5 goals
82%
Under 2.5 goals
18%
BTTS yes
80%
Over 1.5 goals
94%
Over 3.5 goals
66%
BTTS no
20%
Expected goals
2.07 – 2.42

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

The model credits FC Augsburg with an above-average away defensive record. FC Augsburg carry an above-average away scoring record into the fixture. The model expects a relatively open scoring environment in this match. FC Augsburg arrive in stronger recent form, which the model weights alongside season-long numbers.

Most likely scorelines

  • 2–27.0%
  • 1–26.8%
  • 2–15.8%
  • 2–35.7%
  • 1–15.6%
  • 1–35.5%
  • 3–24.9%
  • 3–14.0%

Team comparison

StatisticSV Werder BremenFC Augsburg
Matches played44
Points per match1.751.75
Goals per match2.002.75
Goals conceded per match2.001.50
Home / away goals scored66
Home / away goals conceded34
Last 5 points77
Last 5 goals scored811
Last 5 goals conceded86
Win percentage50%50%

SV Werder Bremen recent form

LWDW

FC Augsburg recent form

WWDL

Recent form

SV Werder Bremen

1W 1D 3L in the last 5 · 5 scored, 9 conceded

  • Dat 1. FC Köln1–1
  • Wvs RB Leipzig3–1
  • Lat SC Freiburg1–4
  • Lvs Borussia Dortmund0–2
  • Lat TSG 1899 Hoffenheim0–1

FC Augsburg

3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 12 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs Bayer 04 Leverkusen2–2
  • Wat Eintracht Frankfurt4–1
  • Wvs FC Schalke 043–0
  • Lat 1. FC Union Berlin0–4
  • Wvs Borussia Mönchengladbach3–1

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 19 Sept, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 29 August 2026
Last updated: 19 September 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.