Bundesliga · Matchweek 10

SV 07 Elversberg vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 (GMT)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 10
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SV 07 Elversberg win36%
Draw21%
SC Freiburg win43%
Predicted score
1–2
Over 2.5 goals
76%
Under 2.5 goals
24%
BTTS yes
74%
Over 1.5 goals
91%
Over 3.5 goals
56%
BTTS no
26%
Expected goals
1.90 – 2.09

Medium confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

SC Freiburg have defended well on the road, conceding less often than the average travelling side. SC Freiburg's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high.

Most likely scorelines

  • 1–27.7%
  • 1–17.4%
  • 2–27.3%
  • 2–17.0%
  • 1–35.4%
  • 2–35.1%
  • 3–24.6%
  • 3–14.4%

Team comparison

StatisticSV 07 ElversbergSC Freiburg
Matches played99
Points per match1.442.11
Goals per match1.892.22
Goals conceded per match2.001.11
Home / away goals scored126
Home / away goals conceded85
Last 5 points69
Last 5 goals scored98
Last 5 goals conceded117
Win percentage44%67%

SV 07 Elversberg recent form

LWLWL

SC Freiburg recent form

WLLWW

Recent form

SV 07 Elversberg

2W 0D 3L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 11 conceded

  • Lat Borussia Dortmund1–2
  • Wvs 1. FSV Mainz 054–1
  • Lat RB Leipzig0–4
  • Wvs FC Augsburg4–3
  • Lat 1. FC Union Berlin0–1

SC Freiburg

3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 8 scored, 7 conceded

  • Wvs 1. FC Union Berlin2–0
  • Wat FC Augsburg2–1
  • Lvs Bayern Munich1–3
  • Lat Bayer 04 Leverkusen1–2
  • Wvs FC Schalke 042–1

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 21 Nov, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 31 October 2026
Last updated: 13 November 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
1000
1X2 accuracy
49.4%
BTTS accuracy
55.9%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.6%
Exact score
10.3%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.