Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

SV 07 Elversberg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction

Match essentials

Kick-off (UK)
Sat 29 Aug, 14:30 (BST)
Competition
Bundesliga
Round
Matchweek 1
Venue
To be confirmed

United Matchday prediction

SV 07 Elversberg win88%
Draw7%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win5%
Predicted score
4–1
Over 2.5 goals
89%
Under 2.5 goals
11%
BTTS yes
63%
Over 1.5 goals
97%
Over 3.5 goals
76%
BTTS no
37%
Expected goals
4.18 – 1.03

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 4–17.4%
  • 4–07.1%
  • 3–17.0%
  • 3–06.8%
  • 5–16.1%
  • 5–05.9%
  • 2–15.1%
  • 2–04.9%

Team comparison

StatisticSV 07 ElversbergBayer 04 Leverkusen
Matches played44
Points per match1.751.75
Goals per match2.002.50
Goals conceded per match1.751.25
Home / away goals scored44
Home / away goals conceded45
Last 5 points77
Last 5 goals scored810
Last 5 goals conceded75
Win percentage50%50%

SV 07 Elversberg recent form

WWLD

Bayer 04 Leverkusen recent form

LWDW

Recent form

SV 07 Elversberg

No recent completed fixtures on record.

Bayer 04 Leverkusen

2W 1D 2L in the last 5 · 9 scored, 8 conceded

  • Dvs Hamburger SV1–1
  • Lat VfB Stuttgart1–3
  • Wvs RB Leipzig4–1
  • Wat 1. FC Köln2–1
  • Lvs FC Augsburg1–2

Team news

Where to watch (UK)

Bundesliga matches are typically shown in the UK by Sky Sports. Kick-off is Sat 29 Aug, 14:30 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 29 August 2026
Status: Locked

How predictions work

Prediction record

Matches predicted
510
1X2 accuracy
46.9%
BTTS accuracy
57.5%
Over 2.5 accuracy
58.8%
Exact score
10.6%

Related predictions

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.