Bundesliga · Matchweek 1
SV 07 Elversberg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction
United Matchday prediction
SV 07 Elversberg win37%
Draw22%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win42%
- Predicted score
- 1–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS yes
- 71%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS no
- 29%
- Expected goals
- 1.77 – 1.90
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Bayer 04 Leverkusen's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 1–18.6%
- 1–28.1%
- 2–17.6%
- 2–27.2%
- 1–35.2%
- 0–14.8%
- 0–24.6%
- 2–34.6%
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live
Prediction record
No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.
Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.