Bundesliga · Matchweek 1

SV 07 Elversberg vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen Prediction

United Matchday prediction

SV 07 Elversberg win37%
Draw22%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen win42%
Predicted score
1–1
Over 2.5 goals
71%
Under 2.5 goals
29%
BTTS yes
71%
Over 1.5 goals
88%
Over 3.5 goals
50%
BTTS no
29%
Expected goals
1.77 – 1.90

Low confidence

Why the model favours this outcome

Bayer 04 Leverkusen's travelling attack has outperformed the competition average. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Statistically the two sides are closely matched, so the draw probability stays comparatively high. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.

Most likely scorelines

  • 118.6%
  • 128.1%
  • 217.6%
  • 227.2%
  • 135.2%
  • 014.8%
  • 024.6%
  • 234.6%

Model transparency

Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 13 August 2026
Last updated: 13 August 2026
Status: Live

How predictions work

Prediction record

No graded predictions yet — accuracy is published as soon as matches are settled.

Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.