Ligue 1
ES Troyes AC vs Le Havre AC
Home
39%
Draw
25%
Away
36%
- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 56%BTTS: 59%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
Ligue 1 · Matchweek 4
Stade Rennais FC 1901 vs Olympique de Marseille Prediction
Match essentials
- Kick-off (UK)
- Fri 11 Sept, 19:45 (BST)
- Competition
- Ligue 1
- Round
- Matchweek 4
- Venue
- To be confirmed
United Matchday prediction
Stade Rennais FC 1901 win60%
Draw19%
Olympique de Marseille win21%
- Predicted score
- 2–1
- Over 2.5 goals
- 71%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 29%
- BTTS yes
- 67%
- Over 1.5 goals
- 88%
- Over 3.5 goals
- 50%
- BTTS no
- 33%
- Expected goals
- 2.33 – 1.34
Low confidence
Why the model favours this outcome
Stade Rennais FC 1901 have produced a stronger-than-average attacking record at home in this competition. Combined attacking and defensive numbers point toward a higher-scoring game than average. Recent results also favour Stade Rennais FC 1901, whose points-per-match rate over the last five games is above average. Sample size is still small this season, so the model leans more heavily on longer-term ratings and lowers its confidence accordingly.
Most likely scorelines
- 2–19.3%
- 1–18.0%
- 3–17.2%
- 2–06.9%
- 2–26.2%
- 1–06.0%
- 3–05.4%
- 1–25.3%
Team comparison
| Statistic | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | Olympique de Marseille |
|---|---|---|
| Matches played | 10 | 10 |
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.80 |
| Goals per match | 2.10 | 2.20 |
| Goals conceded per match | 2.10 | 1.40 |
| Home / away goals scored | 14 | 9 |
| Home / away goals conceded | 7 | 6 |
| Last 5 points | 6 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals scored | 13 | 15 |
| Last 5 goals conceded | 12 | 6 |
| Win percentage | 50% | 60% |
Stade Rennais FC 1901 recent form
WLWLL
Olympique de Marseille recent form
WWWWW
Recent form
Stade Rennais FC 1901
3W 1D 1L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 9 conceded
- Wat Angers SCO2–1
- Wvs Le Mans FC3–2
- Dvs Paris Saint-Germain2–2
- Lat Olympique de Marseille1–3
- Wvs Paris FC2–1
Olympique de Marseille
3W 0D 2L in the last 5 · 10 scored, 6 conceded
- Lvs Paris FC2–3
- Lat AS Monaco FC0–2
- Wvs RC Strasbourg Alsace4–0
- Wvs Stade Rennais FC 19013–1
- Wat Le Havre AC1–0
Where to watch (UK)
Ligue 1 matches are typically shown in the UK by TNT Sports. Kick-off is Fri 11 Sept, 19:45 UK time. Always check the official listing for this fixture, as rights and selections change round by round.
Model transparency
Model: UM Prediction Model v1.0
Generated: 23 August 2026
Last updated: 11 September 2026
Status: Locked
Prediction record
- Matches predicted
- 1000
- 1X2 accuracy
- 49.4%
- BTTS accuracy
- 55.9%
- Over 2.5 accuracy
- 58.6%
- Exact score
- 10.3%
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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- Predicted score: 1–1Over 2.5: 68%BTTS: 68%
Medium confidenceFull prediction
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Home
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Draw
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Away
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Predictions are statistical estimates for informational and entertainment purposes. Football outcomes are uncertain and no prediction is guaranteed.